At this stage, it might be worth exploring our NFL betting site directory for a list of the best places to start your sport wagering. Remember, our aim is to ensure that you have the best gambling experience possible.
It is worth noting that the most successful gamblers will open many accounts with all the top bookmakers to ensure that they always get the best price on their predictions.
NFL betting Tips
Okay, so now you understand the basics, can read an NFL betting line and have opened an account at one of our recommended sites, you may want to start betting. But before you do, it is important to do some basic research in order to improve your chances of success. You do not have to be a mathematical wizard to be a successful gambler but you should at least take the time to check some basic data before you place any bet.
Watch as many games as possible
You should begin your NFL betting research by watching as many games as possible in order to learn the strengths and weaknesses of the competing teams. NFL games are now broadcast all over the world, so wherever you live, it should not be too hard to find games to watch. By watching games, you will start to build a picture of the dominant teams, the star players and the influential Coaches within the game.
Keep it simple to begin with
Once you feel that you have a decent understanding of the game, you can start making your first predictions. A good place to start is with Moneyline bets where you just pick the outright winner of the game. Placing a few Moneyline bets will help you to get comfortable with reading the odds and identifying the strongest teams.
Think about the long term
It is worth pointing out, that gambling is not all about winning huge amounts of money with every wager. It is about winning more than you bet over a long-term period of time and generating a respectable long-term yield. To achieve this, you need to find bets that have a good chance of winning at a price that represents good value.
Develop the winning habit
You may find that your winning bets do not provide you with a huge return to begin with, but as long as you are picking a few winners and finding the best value on each bet, then you are on the right track. You might want to open accounts with several bookmakers in order to find the best odds for each bet. You can also use free bet offers to fund some of your first wagers.
Read the small print
When you do place a bet, make sure that you understand the terms of the wager with your chosen bookmaker. For example, what happens if the game is drawn? Most betting companies will refund your stake, but it is always worth checking before you part with your money.
Start looking at the stats
After you a have placed a few Moneyline bets, you might want to move onto to the Points Spread market. This is by far the most popular way of betting on NFL games and offers a way for novices to assess a team’s chances at a glance. The Point Spread applied by the bookmaker is designed to create an even playing field where both selections have an equal chance of winning, and it is up to you to decide which way the result will swing.
To make a decision, you may want to take several factors into consideration including recent form, injuries and historical match results between the two sides. At this point you may find yourself taking your first important steps into the world of data and statistics.
Once you have placed Moneyline and Point Spread bets, you can use your experience to enter the Totals betting market. This is another area where statistics can used to improve your chances of making an accurate prediction.
NFL Betting Strategies
After a relatively short learning curve, you should now be ready to progress to the next level of NFL betting. You may already be developing your own ideas and strategies, and that is important because different bettors excel in different areas. You may find that you favour one type of bet or enjoy researching one particular area of statistics. The most important thing is to concentrate on what works for you.
Beyond the basic betting line, there are plenty of gambling opportunities to explore such as Parlays, Teasers and live in-play betting. With some bets, you don’t even need to pick a winner, you just need to make the right statistical call on a particular proposition.
Keep a betting log
The sooner you start keeping a betting log, the better. There is no better way of tweaking your strategy than analysing your own wins and losses to identify where you are going right or wrong. Over the course of time, your betting log will start to reveal patterns and you can apply a points ranking system to teams or players according to their performance in your wagers. By building your own database of statistics, you can compare your predictions with those of the bookmakers to spot high value betting opportunities.
Learn to love the stats
The more you understand statistics, the better chance you will have of gaining an edge on the bookmakers. The NFL provides plenty of areas where stats can be used to compare the offensive and defensive prowess of any team.
Some examples of statistics that you should be recording include:
- Yardage: You can quickly identify a team’s strength by looking at their average yardage gained or conceded during the different phases of play.
- Home advantage: Historical home field advantage (HFA) statistics have traditionally been used to calculate the handicap in a Point Spread. As with many sports, the home team in NFL is statistically more likely to win any game, but the percentage is not as high as in some sports such as soccer. By looking at short, medium and long term HFA statistics, you can spot high value betting opportunities for strong home performers – even if they are ranked as underdogs in the game.
- NFL key numbers: As you become more comfortable with spread betting in NFL, it becomes more important to understand the significance of Key numbers. These numbers are the most common scoring margins, and are used to set the benchmark for point spreads by bookmakers. The most important key numbers are 3 and 7, as these are the two most common winning margins in the history of the NFL, accounting for nearly 20% of all results. Of those two key numbers, 3 is the most common winning margin (11.8%) due to the amount of games that are decided by a single field goal. The second most common margin is 7, this makes sense because it equates to the value of a converted touchdown. Knowing the key numbers can help you to avoid bad value bets.
Our betting guides are designed to enhance your overall betting experience, and our directory of top betting sites will help you to find the very best value for all your sports wagering needs,.
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